Rain only expected in November

There is optimism about a good rainy season, but it will start late.

09 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT

WINDHOEK

Little to no rainfall is expected for spring, while outlooks are positive for summer rainfall starting from about November.

This is according to Santam climatologist Johan van den Berg, who added that temperatures will still be below average until at least the second part of August, especially minimum temperatures, while frost may occur until the end of the month.

He explained that the probability for La Niña development has increased and there is an about 60 to 70% probability that it will develop from September to October. “This is positive for summer rainfall.”

He added that favourable Indian Ocean temperatures in combination with La Niña can further enhance the rainfall probabilities and can even assist in an earlier onset of rainfall for the summer.

According to Van den Berg, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been in a neutral state since about April.

“There was an upgrade in the probability for occurrence to just under 70% for the development of a La Niña event to reign from about October 2021 to March 2022.”

Driving force

The probability for an El Niño event is about zero, with an about 30% to 40% probability of neutral conditions to continue.

“This increased probability from about 50% to 70% for La Nina conditions is very significant, especially for this time of the year,” Van den Berg said.

It is most likely that conditions in the Indian Ocean will be the main driving force of climate and weather patterns over southern Africa in the next summer season, but if the expected La Nina event intensifies, the combined effect can be responsible for increased probabilities of above average rainfall.

Similar News

 

October expected to be hot

1 week ago - 05 October 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKAlthough Namibians experienced an unusually chilly weekend, hot conditions are expected for most of October and the first part of November. This is...

Experts discuss rainfall outlook

2 weeks ago - 27 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKNamibia’s rainy season stretches from October to March, during which the bulk of the country can expect normal to above-normal...

Six dams still more than 80% full

3 weeks ago - 22 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKWhile we are steadily approaching the new rainy season, six of Namibia’s storage dams are still at more than...

Optimism about good rainy season

1 month - 06 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKThe bulk of Namibia is expected to experience increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall for October to December this year.According to the 25th...

Optimism about good rainy season

1 month - 03 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKThe bulk of Namibia is expected to experience increased chances of normal...

Spring heralded by severe cold front

1 month - 24 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKWith spring just around the corner, another cold front with freezing temperatures is expected this weekend. The extreme southern parts of the country may...

Rain only expected in November

2 months ago - 09 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKLittle to no rainfall is expected for spring, while outlooks are positive for summer rainfall starting from about November.This is according to Santam climatologist...

Temperature in Nam to rise more than global average

2 months ago - 09 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKTemperatures in Namibia are set to rise much more rapidly than the global average.For each 0.5° C increment in the global temperature, the mean...

Cold front upon cold front to hit Namibia

3 months ago - 25 June 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKPull closer the blankets, because a chilly week lies ahead with the first cold front to hit the country today, followed shortly by another...

Frosty July lies ahead

3 months ago - 22 June 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKTemperatures will drop significantly from the end of this month and frost can be expected throughout most of July, even up to the northern...

Latest News

Creativity and mental health: Where...

19 hours ago | Health

Kalistu R Mukoroli, PR and brand strategistWe tend to preach about being creative, but isn’t this contributing to mental health issues? Creative people always push...

Soldiers turn to AR over...

19 hours ago | Health

STAFF REPORTER WINDHOEKSoldiers opposed to mandatory Covid-19 vaccinations have struck a defiant tone by...

Taxing the informal sector could...

19 hours ago | Economics

PHILLEPSU UUSIKUGenerally, the informal sector is considered difficult to tax as it is associated with high administration costs.Research papers have shown that attempts to tax...

Learning through play

19 hours ago | Society

Mariselle StofbergStimuBox is an online store that produces and sells personalised sensory boxes. These boxes contain fun and simple, age-appropriate activities that help with the...

Where heart meets experience

19 hours ago | Health

Mariselle StofbergWith her heart of gold, fierce determination to make a difference in the lives of others and ability to persevere, Dominic le Roux continues...

Living his passion every day

19 hours ago | Business

Michelline Nawatises Arne Schmid was born and raised in Windhoek. He completed high school at Deutsche Höhere Privatschule Windhoek (DHPS) and finished his studies...

EDITORIAL: No to forced vaccinations

19 hours ago | Opinion

We must encourage vaccination with every joule of energy we have, but must never force them upon anyone.We are pro-vaccination hardliners, but not to the...

Bahr celebrates 3 decades at...

19 hours ago | Society

Iréne-Mari van der WaltMarinda Bahr recently celebrated her 30th year with the Swakopmund municipality. Bahr’s colleague, Marolese Niemand, says she reported for duty two months...

Motivation to achieve and...

19 hours ago | Motors

Emilie Mandume Dean Gaeb started his education at Outjo Primary School in 2005 and completed his secondary education in 2017 at Outjo Secondary School.Rugby was...

Load More