Rain only expected in November

There is optimism about a good rainy season, but it will start late.

09 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT

WINDHOEK

Little to no rainfall is expected for spring, while outlooks are positive for summer rainfall starting from about November.

This is according to Santam climatologist Johan van den Berg, who added that temperatures will still be below average until at least the second part of August, especially minimum temperatures, while frost may occur until the end of the month.

He explained that the probability for La Niña development has increased and there is an about 60 to 70% probability that it will develop from September to October. “This is positive for summer rainfall.”

He added that favourable Indian Ocean temperatures in combination with La Niña can further enhance the rainfall probabilities and can even assist in an earlier onset of rainfall for the summer.

According to Van den Berg, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been in a neutral state since about April.

“There was an upgrade in the probability for occurrence to just under 70% for the development of a La Niña event to reign from about October 2021 to March 2022.”

Driving force

The probability for an El Niño event is about zero, with an about 30% to 40% probability of neutral conditions to continue.

“This increased probability from about 50% to 70% for La Nina conditions is very significant, especially for this time of the year,” Van den Berg said.

It is most likely that conditions in the Indian Ocean will be the main driving force of climate and weather patterns over southern Africa in the next summer season, but if the expected La Nina event intensifies, the combined effect can be responsible for increased probabilities of above average rainfall.

Similar News

 

October a dry month for western Namibia

6 days ago - 25 November 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKMost of the western regions and the Zambezi received little to no rain during October.However, the Namibia Meteorological Service said...

October a dry month for western Namibia

1 week ago - 23 November 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKMost of the western regions and the Zambezi received little to no...

Hailstorm destroys five power pylons

4 weeks ago - 02 November 2021 | Weather

ELVIRA HATTINGHWINDHOEKThursday afternoon's hailstorm in Keetmanshoop and the surrounding area destroyed five power pylons, Nampower spokesperson Rosa Nikanor has confirmed.At the same time, it caused...

Warning for heavy rain

1 month - 21 October 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKThe Namibia Meteorological Service has warned that heavy rainfall is expected over the south-eastern parts of Namibia tonight.This, as a...

October expected to be hot

1 month - 05 October 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKAlthough Namibians experienced an unusually chilly weekend, hot conditions are expected for most of October and the first part of November. This is...

Experts discuss rainfall outlook

2 months ago - 27 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKNamibia’s rainy season stretches from October to March, during which the bulk of the country can expect normal to above-normal...

Six dams still more than 80% full

2 months ago - 22 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKWhile we are steadily approaching the new rainy season, six of Namibia’s storage dams are still at more than...

Optimism about good rainy season

2 months ago - 06 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKThe bulk of Namibia is expected to experience increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall for October to December this year.According to the 25th...

Optimism about good rainy season

2 months ago - 03 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKThe bulk of Namibia is expected to experience increased chances of normal...

Spring heralded by severe cold front

3 months ago - 24 August 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKWith spring just around the corner, another cold front with freezing temperatures is expected this weekend. The extreme southern parts of the country may...

Latest News

Van Wyk reports ACC to...

8 hours ago | Justice

OGONE TLHAGE WINDHOEKFishrot lackey Nigel van Wyk, in a report to the Office of...

Defence grilled over unapproved weapons...

8 hours ago | Ministries

JEMIMA BEUKES WINDHOEKThe defence ministry has bought, without Treasury approval, weapons worth N$5 million from its own ammunition manufacturing company, Ndilimani...

Govt, unions in stalemate over...

8 hours ago | Labour

ESTER KAMATI WINDHOEKCivil servants will have to face another year without a salary increase as discussions, which took place on Monday, between...

SA's Covid-19 cases could triple...

8 hours ago | Economics

ALEXANDER WINNING AND WENDELL ROELFSouth Africa's daily Covid-19 infection rate could triple to more than 10 000 by the end of this week as the...

Global jet fuel demand under...

8 hours ago | Economics

Global jet fuel markets stayed under pressure on Tuesday as more countries expanded border restrictions to keep the new Omicron coronavirus variant at bay, prompting...

EDITORIAL: Pohamba is embossing himself

8 hours ago | Opinion

Former President Hifikepunye Pohamba has been in the news this week for unsavoury reasons.In strict law terms, Pohamba has every right to kick pensioner Amanda...

Ethiopia lifts suspension of collateralised...

8 hours ago | Economics

Ethiopia’s central bank has lifted a suspension of lending by commercial banks to their customers using collateral such as property, the bank said on Monday.The...

Drought, Covid-19 got nothing on...

8 hours ago | Business

PHILLEPUS UUSIKUAgra recorded a 1.5% increase in revenue growth for a record N$1.814 billion in turnover and an increase in operational profit of 6.5% over...

Otjiwarongo security company settles with...

8 hours ago | Justice

JANA-MARI SMITH WINDHOEKAn Otjiwarongo security company’s owner and supervisor - charged with the murder...

Load More