Payroll gobbles bigger income chunk
Payroll gobbles bigger income chunk

Payroll gobbles bigger income chunk

Government’s payroll has ballooned by 126% over the last ten fiscal years.
Jo-Mare Duddy Booysen
Jo-Maré Duddy – Nearly N$560 out of every N$1 000 of government’s own revenue in 2020/21 will pay for civil servants’ salaries and benefits, leaving only N$440 for other expenses and infrastructure like schools and hospitals.

Government’s payroll for 2020/21 totals about N$28.7 billion or 56% of total income of nearly N$51.4 billion. In 2019/20 it was nearly N$29.8 billion or 51% of total income of around N$58.2 billion.

A decade ago, the payroll equalled about 42.7% of total income, budget data shows. Then, the wage bill totalled about N$12.7 billion.

The amount budgeted for this year is about a N$1 billion or 3.5% less than the total estimated payroll for 2019/20.

Government’s wage bill for 2020/21 constitutes about 39% of the total budget of nearly N$72.8 billion tabled by finance minister Iipumbu Shiimi on Wednesday. Last year, the figure was around 44%.

Namibia this year faces a record budget deficit of N$21.4 billion. Financing this will chase up debt to an all-time high of N$117.5 billion.

‘Right size’

Shiimi only tabled a budget for 2020/21, promising a full medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) and package of structural policy reforms in the mid-year budget review. The essence of this package will provide “evidence-based, transformational reforms to be implemented over the next MTEF and beyond”, he said.

Strategic priorities will, among others, entail “conducting an assessment to find a sustainable and responsible strategy to right size the public service and consequently contain the wage bill on the back of the consolidation of government functions implemented this year”, the minister said.

Commenting on the budget yesterday, Cirrus Securities said “no material expenditure reform can be achieved without addressing the civil service wage bill”.

‘Rigid’

Moody’s, who rates government’s long-term debt in foreign currencies at two notches below junk, last Friday lowered Namibia’s outlook from stable to negative.

In its report, Moody’s said as Namibia’s debt servicing burden rises, the “rigid budget structure (in particular the government wage bill) means the task of repeating ambitious fiscal consolidation will become increasingly more difficult”.

“The scope for additional non-wage bill expenditure rationalisation and capital expenditure reductions has been largely exhausted, with further expenditure reduction much more politically challenging,” the international rating agency said.

Moody’s warned that “longer term, reduced confidence in the government's ability to introduce broader structural reforms to reduce the economy's and budget's persistent vulnerabilities may warrant positioning the rating at a lower level”.

Deeper into junk

Moody's would likely downgrade Namibia's rating should the policy response to the economic and fiscal challenges resulting from the coronavirus shock be insufficient to arrest the upward debt trajectory, and if the ongoing deterioration in Namibia's debt burden and debt affordability was likely to result in liquidity risks, raising questions over the government's ability to refinance maturing debt.

Longer term, reduced confidence in the government's ability to introduce broader structural reforms to reduce the economy's and budget's persistent vulnerabilities may warrant positioning the rating at a lower level. A sustained decline in foreign currency reserves that threatened reserves adequacy would also put downward pressure on the rating.

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Namibian Sun 2024-03-28

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Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.87 | EUR to NAD 20.43 | CNY to NAD 2.62 | USD to NAD 18.92 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.27 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 18.93 | USD to ZMW 25.01 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 225.05/OZ UP +1.57% | Copper US$ 3.99/lb UP +0.09% | Zinc US$ 2 453.40/T DOWN -0.13% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.37/BBP UP +1.14% | Platinum US$ 908.10/OZ UP +1.48% Sport results: Weather: Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 23.87 | EUR to NAD 20.43 | CNY to NAD 2.62 | USD to NAD 18.92 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.27 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 18.93 | USD to ZMW 25.01 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 225.05/OZ UP +1.57% | Copper US$ 3.99/lb UP +0.09% | Zinc US$ 2 453.40/T DOWN -0.13% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.37/BBP UP +1.14% | Platinum US$ 908.10/OZ UP +1.48%