Experts discuss rainfall outlook

27 September 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT



WINDHOEK

Namibia’s rainy season stretches from October to March, during which the bulk of the country can expect normal to above-normal rainfall. However, there are areas, such as the north-west, which will receive below-normal rain.

This according to an expert discussion held last week on the outlook for Namibia’s 2021/2022 rainy season and what possible impacts this could have.

Sieglinde Somses from the Namibia Meteorological Services said that currently a neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is observed and a weak La Niña is predicted.

She said from October to December, most parts of the country are likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, with the exception of the south-western parts where below-normal rainfall is predicted.

“For the November to January period, the greatest part of the country is projected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, while the north-western parts are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall,” Somses said.

She added that the outlook for January to March also indicates that normal to above-normal rainfall is likely over most parts of the country, while normal to below-normal rainfall is likely over the north-west.

Disaster preparedness

Pauline Mufeti, head of Namibia’s Hydrological Services, said close monitoring of rivers and dams was necessary, as floods may occur.

“Our major water supply dams are already at 70 to 80% of their capacity,” she pointed out.

Mufeti said heavy rainfall can also destroy crops and cause disease outbreaks, infrastructure damage and loss of lives.

Below-normal rainfall causes its own problems, such as a shortage of drinking water, and crop and livestock losses.

Agri assessment

Meanwhile, Matheus Ndjodji from the agriculture ministry said there was a delay in the onset of the 2020/2021 rainy season, specifically in the crop-producing areas.

“Nonetheless, the greater part of the country received good rainfall.”

He said the southern, central, eastern and north-eastern regions received good rainfall, but the western part of the country and the north-central regions received below-average rainfall.

Kunene, part of Erongo and the western part of Omusati were the hardest hit.

Cereal estimates show that the country harvested about 154 100 tonnes this year, which was 26% above the average production of 122 400 tonnes, but 5% less than the previous season’s production of 162 500 tonnes.

“The reduction in harvest was largely due to severe and prolonged dry spells experienced in the north-central area, and excessive rainfall coupled with crop pests in some parts of the northeast.”

Ndjodji further said grazing and water supply improved in most parts of the country following good rainfall earlier this year, with grazing conditions ranging between fair and very good.

In the western part of the country, grazing conditions are worrisome due to ongoing drought.

Similar News

 

Naute Dam sluices opened

2 days ago - 17 January 2022 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKThe Naute Dam’s sluices were opened for the first time this year...

Rain waves expected to bring heavy downpour

5 days ago - 14 January 2022 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKAlthough rainfall performance during the first part of the rainy season has been poor, things are looking up, with rain...

No inflow into dams yet

1 week ago - 12 January 2022 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKEven though the country has received its first rains for the year, there has been no inflow into the storage dams yet.Five of the...

Warning of more rain for the north-east

1 week ago - 11 January 2022 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKWidespread rainfall over most parts of the country at the weekend brought some relief from the extremely hot temperatures...

Heavy rain expected in northern regions

1 week ago - 07 January 2022 | Weather

ELLANIE SMITWINDHOEKThe Namibia Meteorological Service has warned that heavy rainfall can be expected on Saturday in the Zambezi, Kavango, Oshikoto, Ohangwena and Otjozondjupa regions.People living...

Heat wave to make way for rain

2 weeks ago - 05 January 2022 | Weather

JANA-MARI SMITHWINDHOEK As Namibia continues to buckle under heat wave conditions, weather forecasts indicate relief is on the way for some, with heavy rains expected...

December rains on the way

1 month - 03 December 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEK The Namibia Meteorological Service forecasts heavy rain for far northern...

October a dry month for western Namibia

1 month - 25 November 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKMost of the western regions and the Zambezi received little to no rain during October.However, the Namibia Meteorological Service said...

October a dry month for western Namibia

1 month - 23 November 2021 | Weather

ELLANIE SMIT WINDHOEKMost of the western regions and the Zambezi received little to no...

Hailstorm destroys five power pylons

2 months ago - 02 November 2021 | Weather

ELVIRA HATTINGHWINDHOEKThursday afternoon's hailstorm in Keetmanshoop and the surrounding area destroyed five power pylons, Nampower spokesperson Rosa Nikanor has confirmed.At the same time, it caused...

Latest News

Buying, selling a business as...

19 hours ago | Business

Audrey van Antwerpen – Many entrepreneurs at one stage or another consider buying or selling a business, especially in these challenging economic times.Where a business...

China cuts rates on policy...

19 hours ago | Economics

China’s central bank on Monday unexpectedly cut the borrowing costs of its medium-term loans for the first time since April 2020, while some market analysts...

Uganda hit by fuel shortage...

19 hours ago | Economics

Ugandans were struggling Monday with a fuel shortage that has sent prices skyrocketing, as hundreds of trucks remain stuck in huge tailbacks at the border...

EDITORIAL: Watch South Africa closely...

19 hours ago | Opinion

South Africa is at a tipping point, something Namibia, as a tiny neighbour, must watch closely. Systemic political corruption in which private interests have significantly...

Swapo sacrifices social cohesion

19 hours ago | Economics

Jo-Maré Duddy – “After three decades in political power, Swapo has wasted social capital and sacrificed the asset of social cohesion for short-term individual gains...

Covid-scarred economy riddled by risks

19 hours ago | Economics

Jo-Maré Duddy – Namibians entered 2022 tossing and turning about bleak prospects for jobs and a decent living: As the country enters its third year...

Global jobs recovery to take...

19 hours ago | Economics

EMMA FARGEThe global job market will take longer to recover than previously thought, with unemployment set to remain above pre-Covid-19 levels until at least 2023...

SPYL gives Sheya the cold...

19 hours ago | Politics

KENYA KAMBOWE RUNDUSwapo Party Youth League (SPYL) secretary Ephraim Nekongo says comments by former...

COMPANY NEWS IN BRIEF

19 hours ago | Business

Unilever faces a dilemmaUnilever faces a dilemma after its 50-billion-pound (US$68 billion) offer for GlaxoSmithKline's consumer healthcare assets was rejected.The bid for GSK's assets, including...

Load More