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At 20, euro is currency giant on fragile footing

Jo-Mare Duddy Booysen
Jean-Philippe Lacour - The euro turned 20 yesterday, marking two tumultuous decades that saw the single currency survive a make-or-break crisis and become a fixture in financial markets and Europeans' wallets.

But it is destined to remain a fragile giant without closer eurozone integration, observers say.

Born on January 1, 1999, the euro initially existed only as a virtual currency used in accounting and financial transactions.

It became a physical reality for Europeans three years later, and its coins and notes are now used by over 340 million people in 19 European Union countries.

The currency wasn't immediately loved, with many perceiving its arrival as an unwelcome price hike. In Germany, it was nicknamed the "teuro", a pun on the German word for expensive.

But the ease of travelling and doing business across borders in the euro area without having to worry about foreign exchange fluctuations quickly won hearts and minds.

Popular

Today the euro is more popular than ever despite the rise of eurosceptic, populist movements in a slew of countries.

In a November survey for the European Central Bank, 74% of eurozone citizens said the euro had been good for the EU, while 64% said it had been good for their nation.

"The euro is anchored in the population, even anti-establishment parties have had to acknowledge that," said Nicolas Veron, a fellow at the Bruegel think tank in Brussels and the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.

The euro is now the world's number-two currency, though it remains some way off from challenging the dominance of the US dollar.

Turmoil

The euro reached a defining moment when the aftershocks of the 2008 financial crisis triggered a eurozone debt crisis that culminated in bailouts of several countries, pushing the currency union to breaking point and severely testing the club's unity.

Experts say the turbulent time exposed the original flaws of the euro project, including the lack of fiscal solidarity through the pooling of debt, investments and therefore risks, or the lack of a lender of last resort.

The turmoil also highlighted the economic disparity between member states, particularly between the more fiscally prudent north and debt-laden southern nations.

ECB chief Mario Draghi was credited with saving the euro in 2012 when he uttered the now legendary words that the Frankfurt institution, in charge of eurozone monetary policy, would do "whatever it takes" to preserve the currency.

The ECB promised to buy up, if necessary, unlimited amounts of government bonds from debt-stricken countries. The scheme, known as outright monetary transactions, succeeded in calming the waters but has never actually been used.

ECB

To keep money flowing across the eurozone and ward off the threat of deflation, a crippling downward spiral of prices and economic activity, the ECB has still taken unprecedented action in recent years.

It has set interest rates at historic lows, offered cheap loans to banks and bought more than 2.6 trillion euro in government and corporate bonds between 2015 and 2018.

With inflation inching closer to the bank's goal of just under 2.0%, the stimulus has been widely judged as a monetary policy success story.

But observers say the 19 single currency nations have not done enough to carry out the political reforms necessary to better arm the region for future downturns and achieve greater economic convergence.

The long-mooted banking union remains incomplete amid disagreement over the creation of a Europe-wide deposit insurance scheme.

And French President Emmanuel Macron's flagship proposal for a eurozone budget has been considerably watered down, with members in December agreeing only to exploring a scaled-down version of the idea while staying vague on details.

Macron's more ambitious plans for a eurozone finance minister or a European version of the International Monetary Fund have been pushed aside.

The ECB meanwhile has gone "as far as it can" in shoring up the euro, said Gilles Moec, a former French central bank economist.

But analyst Vernon took a more upbeat view, saying the euro had been strengthened by the clean-up of banks' balance sheets, efforts to rein in public debt and the ECB's extraordinary actions.

The euro is now "a giant with feet of bricks rather than clay", he said. – Nampa/AFP

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Premier League: Brighton 0 vs 4 Manchester City | Manchester United 4 vs 2 Sheffield United | Everton 2 vs 0 Liverpool | Crystal Palace 2 vs 0 Newcastle | Wolves 0 vs 1 Bournemouth | Arsenal 5 vs 0 Chelsea SerieA: Udinese 1 vs 2 AS Roma European Championships Qualifying: Coventry City 2 vs 3 Hull City | Leicester City 5 vs 0 Southampton English Championship: Coventry City 2 vs 3 Hull City | Leicester City 5 vs 0 Southampton Katima Mulilo: 16° | 33° Rundu: 16° | 33° Eenhana: 16° | 35° Oshakati: 17° | 34° Ruacana: 17° | 35° Tsumeb: 18° | 32° Otjiwarongo: 14° | 31° Omaruru: 16° | 34° Windhoek: 15° | 29° Gobabis: 18° | 30° Henties Bay: 15° | 22° Wind speed: 26km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:31, High tide: 04:30, Low Tide: 22:38, High tide: 16:57 Swakopmund: 15° | 18° Wind speed: 28km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:29, High tide: 04:28, Low Tide: 22:36, High tide: 16:55 Walvis Bay: 16° | 26° Wind speed: 34km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:29, High tide: 04:27, Low Tide: 22:36, High tide: 16:54 Rehoboth: 17° | 31° Mariental: 20° | 34° Keetmanshoop: 22° | 34° Aranos: 20° | 33° Lüderitz: 13° | 24° Ariamsvlei: 20° | 35° Oranjemund: 17° | 30° Luanda: 26° | 29° Gaborone: 18° | 27° Lubumbashi: 11° | 25° Mbabane: 13° | 17° Maseru: 9° | 23° Antananarivo: 14° | 27° Lilongwe: 14° | 26° Maputo: 18° | 25° Windhoek: 15° | 29° Cape Town: 15° | 27° Durban: 17° | 22° Johannesburg: 15° | 23° Dar es Salaam: 23° | 31° Lusaka: 17° | 26° Harare: 14° | 26° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.44 | EUR to NAD 20.11 | CNY to NAD 2.6 | USD to NAD 18.76 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.71 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.68 | RUB to NAD 0.21 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.22 | USD to AOA 834.06 | USD to BWP 13.79 | USD to EGP 47.85 | USD to KES 134.48 | USD to NGN 1329.44 | USD to ZAR 18.74 | USD to ZMW 26.6 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 74329.37 Down -0.25% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1642.69 Up +6.30% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 13346.81 Up +0.49% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 25917.59 Down -3.21% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - 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Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 341.17/OZ UP +0.45% | Copper US$ 4.55/lb UP +0.83% | Zinc US$ 2 874.90/T UP 0.72% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 89.09/BBP UP +0.22% | Platinum US$ 913.24/OZ DOWN -0.0029