u2018Still in the darku2019
u2018Still in the darku2019

‘Still in the dark’

There is no clarity on why the South African finance minister Pravin Gordhan was recalled and as speculation about a reshuffle continues, the rand remains highly volatile.
Yanna Smith
The director-general at the South African Treasury Lungisa Fuzile says they still don't know why President Jacob Zuma cancelled their investment roadshow.

Fuzile was speaking to journalists outside of Luthuli House, following finance minister Pravin Gordhan being spotted on the sixth floor inside the building earlier.

Gordhan arrived back in South Africa this morning and went straight to the ANC headquarters and is believed to be locked up in a meeting with ANC secretary-general Gwede Mantashe.

Speculation has grown over the past 24 hours that his head is on the chopping block. Some ANC insiders close to President Jacob Zuma have said that "a long overdue cabinet reshuffle" would take place before end of the week.

"There has been speculation for a very long time. In my case I don't work with speculation I work with realities," said Fuzile. He refused to give details behind his presence at Luthuli House except to say he was meeting with friends at the ANC headquarters.

Fuzile said the investor roadshow went well. "We met around 50 investors and two credit ratings agencies," he said.

The treasury DG jokingly added that he didn't mind the urgent recall from the roadshow. "I love home hey, you must always know I love home and with me, I can't wait to get to the farm," said Fuzile.

In the meanwhile, the North Gauteng High Court dismissed the application by Gupta-owned Sahara for finance minister Pravin Gordhan to be present at court as it failed to show cause for the late filing and merit for the application. The ruling came around midday.

The rand remained on tenterhooks yesterday as there was no clarity with regards to Zuma’s next steps.

Fluid and explosive were the words used to describe what could potentially result if South African finance ministers Pravin Gordhan and Mcebisi Jonas were to be replaced by RMB South Africa analyst John Cairns this week.

Speculation is rife that both Gordhan and Jonas will be replaced in a widely anticipated Cabinet reshuffle by Zuma, paving the way for the appointment of former Transnet and Eskom CEO Brian Molefe.

“Based on the commentary in the papers and the web, most of those in the know politically are converging on the view that Gordhan and Jonas’s forced return was probably about today’s court case on the bank accounts of the Gupta-linked companies. If so, then one could bravely argue that the rand has overreacted: the recall reminds of political risks and will require a higher risk premium to be built back in, but with no massive run,” said Cairns.

The rand lost some traction and weakened considerably since noise of the possible reshuffle resurfaced. “The US dollar to the rand has dropped back marginally from the overnight high of R12.84 to R12.74 but the situation remains fluid and potentially explosive as we all try and figure out why Minister Gordhan and Deputy Minister Jonas were asked to return to South Africa,” said Cairns.

“Altogether the situation remains fluid and potentially explosive. Further runs on the rand are certainly possible. Monday’s 50-cent losses are nothing compared to what would happen in the worst case Cabinet reshuffle scenario, remember that when Nhlanhla Nene was replaced the rand lost R1.50 immediately after and 250 cents within a month, this despite David van Rooyen’s appointment as finance minister being reversed,” Cairns said in relation to an earlier reshuffle in December 2015.

OGONE TLHAGE & NEWS24

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Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Currency: GBP to NAD 23.96 | EUR to NAD 20.52 | CNY to NAD 2.63 | USD to NAD 19.03 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.34 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 19.03 | USD to ZMW 24.97 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 211.71/OZ UP +0.96% | Copper US$ 3.98/lb DOWN -0.0015 | Zinc US$ 2 447.90/T DOWN -0.35% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.06/BBP UP +0.78% | Platinum US$ 898.08/OZ UP +0.36% Sport results: Weather: Katima Mulilo: 19° | 37° Rundu: 17° | 33° Eenhana: 18° | 33° Oshakati: 20° | 31° Ruacana: 19° | 33° Tsumeb: 17° | 29° Otjiwarongo: 16° | 28° Omaruru: 18° | 31° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Gobabis: 17° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 19° Wind speed: 24km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 10:54, High tide: 04:57, Low Tide: 22:58, High tide: 17:16 Swakopmund: 15° | 17° Wind speed: 29km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:55, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:14 Walvis Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 33km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 10:52, High tide: 04:54, Low Tide: 22:56, High tide: 17:13 Rehoboth: 18° | 29° Mariental: 22° | 32° Keetmanshoop: 21° | 34° Aranos: 21° | 31° Lüderitz: 15° | 29° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 34° Oranjemund: 15° | 21° Luanda: 27° | 30° Gaborone: 20° | 32° Lubumbashi: 17° | 24° Mbabane: 15° | 23° Maseru: 12° | 28° Antananarivo: 16° | 27° Lilongwe: 17° | 29° Maputo: 20° | 28° Windhoek: 17° | 28° Cape Town: 17° | 23° Durban: 21° | 25° Johannesburg: 18° | 28° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 32° Lusaka: 18° | 30° Harare: 15° | 31° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 23.96 | EUR to NAD 20.52 | CNY to NAD 2.63 | USD to NAD 19.03 | DZD to NAD 0.14 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.33 | EGP to NAD 0.39 | KES to NAD 0.14 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.74 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.8 | RUB to NAD 0.2 | INR to NAD 0.23 | USD to DZD 134.34 | USD to AOA 832.63 | USD to BWP 13.71 | USD to EGP 47.35 | USD to KES 130.98 | USD to NGN 1415.13 | USD to ZAR 19.03 | USD to ZMW 24.97 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index 73909.5 Up +0.41% | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1516.02 Down -0.13% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 12981.98 Up +0.34% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 28224.37 Down -2.87% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 211.71/OZ UP +0.96% | Copper US$ 3.98/lb DOWN -0.0015 | Zinc US$ 2 447.90/T DOWN -0.35% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 87.06/BBP UP +0.78% | Platinum US$ 898.08/OZ UP +0.36%